It’s 50属F and sunny in Wisconsin, according to the local forecast.louis vuitton replica The cold days are almost done, and so too is the Republican primary. In the week leading up to Tuesday’s nominating contest in the state, one of the few standing between Mitt Romney and ironclad inevitability, GOP leaders rallied to the former governor’s banners. National figures like Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio signed on to the campaign, as did home-state heroes like Senator Ron Johnson and Representative Paul Ryan. Romney finally has the party at his back.replica chanel shoes But that support also puts a new kind of burden on his shoulders.
A hard-fought primary season has done Romney and his party few favors. According to a March survey conducted by the Pew Research Center for the People and the Press, 56% of Americans hold a negative view of the Republican Party, compared with a 49% plurality who view Democrats favorably. Half of Americans say the GOP is the more extreme party, 15 points more than those who say the same of the Dems.louis vuitton speedy
(PHOTOS: Political Pictures of the Week, March 24??30)
Despite President Obama’s stewardship of a tepid recovery, rising gas prices and the passage of the controversial health-reform law that is currently before the Supreme Court, more trust his party on the economy, energy and health care than they do the Republicans. The GOP’s signature issue in 2010 and 2011 ?? sounding the alarm on swelling deficits ?? is now a wash. Independents are evenly split on most of these issues but still rate Republicans as more extreme.
This kind of data helps explain why Romney is underwater with a 51% unfavorable rating and why uniting the party is a fraught exercise for him.handbags louis vuitton As Romney secures the various factions of the GOP, he risks taking on its baggage too. And a spate of issues, national and local, threaten to distract from Romney’s general-election message that Obama has mishandled the economy and therefore needs to go.
(MORE: Republican Primary End of Days Watch)
Nowhere is this more apparent than in Wisconsin, which for the past year has been the main front in the war between Republican lawmakers and labor unions. Swept into power in 2010, the GOP, led by Governor Scott Walker, enacted a deep-cutting budget that trimmed benefits and limited the bargaining capability of public workers.replica gucci shoes The measures sparked a massive backlash from Democrats and their union allies, who put in motion only the third recall vote of a governor in U.S. history.
Walker has not endorsed Romney or any other candidate in Tuesday’s primary, perhaps to avoid alienating the Republican voters he desperately needs in his upcoming recall election.fake louis vuitton shoes But when he faces the judgment of Wisconsinites on June 5, the general election will just be picking up. Romney, who has long supported Walker and his budget, will be dragged into the fight as his party’s nominee.
Romney has attacked the United Auto Workers to defend his opposition to the 2009 Detroit bailout and has used labor issues to try to drive a wedge between conservatives and Rick Santorum, who played to Pennsylvania unions during his time in the Senate. But labor issues are probably something he’d rather leave behind for the general election.fake chanel shoes While Wisconsin might be divided, the national electorate is not. Collective-bargaining restrictions similar to those passed in Wisconsin were rolled back by a referendum last year in the key swing state of Ohio. And while many Americans harbor little love for labor unions, they oppose restricting the bargaining rights of public employees by a margin of roughly 2 to 1, according to a series of national polls conducted in the spring of 2011. Even then, most support lies in the Deep South, where Romney can count on conservative electorates to vote against Obama.louis vuitton belts
(PHOTOS: On the Trail with Romney: Photographs by Lauren Fleishman)
All that said, Walker probably isn’t the Wisconsinite who will have the most profound effect on the Republican ticket this year; that distinction goes to Ryan, the House Budget Committee chairman and architect of the deep-cutting, entitlement-restructuring fiscal plans passed by the lower chamber for two years running, who endorsed Romney last week.
Throughout these budgets, Ryan has enshrined in legislation, if not law, Republicans’ wishes to see government scaled back, taxes lowered, Medicaid sent to the states and Medicare voucherized. His plans have made the 42-year-old Congressman an object of reverence and adoration on the right. But they have also opened up the party and its nominee to Democratic attacks on scaling back entitlement programs, which remains unpopular among Democrats, independents and even most Republicans.louis vuitton shoes replica Obama’s political advisers already refer to this as the ??Romney-Ryan plan?? and are cutting video lumping the two men together.
In May of last year, Romney praised Ryan’s budget without promising to make it part of his campaign platform. “I’m going to have my own plan,” he said. But the past six months have made that distance difficult to maintain.gucci handbag for sale In order to deep-six Newt Gingrich’s candidacy, Romney criticized the former Speaker for briefly bad-mouthing Ryan’s plan, driving Romney closer. When Romney unveiled his Medicare plan early this year, it borrowed heavily from Ryan’s road map, raising the eligibility age for Medicare and offering coverage through vouchers for use in the private market, albeit with traditional Medicare still available. Ryan’s new plan, constructed with the input of Democrat Ron Wyden and recently passed by the House, closely resembled Romney’s, retaining traditional Medicare as an option.
Whatever the GOP offers up as part of its official platform in the fall, there’s no question that it will be judged, both by Republicans and Democrats, with the Ryan plan as a baseline.fake gucci shoes And it’s possible that Ryan could be on the ticket too. ??If that bridge ever came,?? he said last week of the vice-presidential slot, ??I??d consider it. In the meantime, I??m not dwelling on it.??
Another Republican vice-presidential prospect, Virginia’s popular and ambitious governor, Bob McDonnell, also illustrates the challenges for Romney in picking up the party’s mantle.chanel handbags for sale McDonnell’s strong approval ratings took a hit this year after the legislature debated and passed a controversial law requiring women to receive an ultrasound and hear a description of their fetus before getting an abortion. The original version, which mandated an invasive vaginal ultrasound, was revised to strike that section of the law, but only after a national uproar over the measure pushed McDonnell to change course and request a revision. Nonetheless, a Quinnipiac University poll conducted in March found that the governor’s approval rating among women dropped 15 points in just one month.
(MORE: Virginia Governor Bob McDonnell Golf-Claps President Obama)
Virginia is a vital state for Romney, but his challenge lies beyond the Old Dominion as well.louis vuitton handbags for sale Republican lawmakers in 20 states have passed mandatory ultrasound laws, and five more besides Virginia debated them this year. Americans have historically been split on whether abortion should be legal, but laws seeking to discourage women from seeking the service are not viewed the same way. Although a slim 52% majority opposed Virginia’s ultrasound law in the Quinnipiac poll, 72% said the government should not try to persuade women not to have an abortion. In the national Pew survey, Democrats’ largest lead on any single issue was the 16-point margin for which party ??best represents your views on abortion.cheap gucci belts??
Romney’s record on the issue is mild ?? after all, he ran for governor of Massachusetts as a personally antiabortion but professionally pro-abortion-rights candidate before becoming a pro-life presidential prospect ?? but Republican legislatures in states like Virginia could do residual damage to him among women, especially single women, a group that is emerging as a crucial swing vote, as the candidate and party merge into one. After a winter that saw national debate over mandatory ultrasounds, birth control coverage and Planned Parenthood funding, a USA Today/Gallup poll released on Monday of a dozen battleground states found Obama opening up big leads as women shifted to his side.
Whether these issues plague Romney or not, the Republicans’ best shot at the White House ultimately lies in making the election about Obama and his record in office: a referendum rather than a binary choice. And that’s what Romney was working hard at over the weekend in Wisconsin.louis vuitton belts “President Obama believes in a government-centered society. He believes government guiding our lives will do a better job in doing so than individuals,” he said on Saturday in Waukesha County.?But outside another Romney event on the same day, protesters lined up with signs that read ??Recall Walker?? and ??Keep Your Mitt(s) Off Birth Control.
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2013年11月20日星期三
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Romney is winning men by 1 point, losing women to Obama by 18 in a dozen general election swing states.louis vuitton neverfull
His vice presidential search has begun.
John Heilemann handicaps potential candidates.
John E. Sununu says go boring.louis vuitton handbags for sale
The Supreme Court case is more crucial to the balance of federal power than any political end.
Still, few want to see Obama run against the court.
A long-term federal transportation solution slips away.
The states turn to privatized infrastructure.chanel handbags for sale
The poorest households may be spending as much as 9% of their income on lotto tickets.
Reading another close poll in Massachusetts’ Senate race.
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Marine General John Allen, the top U.loui vuittonS. commander in Afghanistan, was here in Washington two weeks ago saying the U.S. and the Afghan government are making progress in their decade-long battle with the Taliban.louis vuitton backpack for sale ??We remain on track to ensure that Afghanistan will no longer be a safe haven for al-Qaida and will no longer be terrorized by the Taliban,?? he said. ??Our troops know the difference that they’re making every day, and the enemy feels that difference every day.??
Now comes a decidedly contrary point of view. It’s from Douglas A.louis vuitton speedy Wissing, author of the just-published Funding the Enemy: How U.S. Taxpayers Bankroll the Taliban. After spending time with U.louis vuitton handbags for saleS. troops in Afghanistan, he??s come to the conclusion that the U.S.-led effort there is flagging, if not already doomed.louis vuitton shoes replica Battleland conducted this email chat with Wissing last week:
What share of the Taliban??s money do you estimate comes from illicit drugs? From the U.S. government?
I spent time in Afghanistan and in Washington trying to track that number down. One day at the U.louis vuitton speedyS. embassy in Kabul, an American official serving in the Afghan Threat Finance Cell (ATFC) talked to me. The ATFC is comprised of about 30 specialists on loan from the Department of Drug Enforcement, the Department of Treasury, the Department of Justice, the Department of Defense??s CENTCOM, the CIA, and the FBI, who try to identify and disrupt sources Taliban funding. They are the experts.louis vuitton handbags for sale
The official told me that U.S. government officials estimated the insurgents?? annual budget to be in the hundreds of millions of dollars. ??Is it $1 billion? $500 million? The total amount is a tail people are going to chase until the end of time,?? he told me.louis vuitton outlet online ??We know they are raising substantial amounts of money; they can finance their operations. If you take away the Gulf money, they can make it up. If you take away the narco money, they can make it up. It??s like punching Jello.handbags louis vuitton??
The official confirmed the U.S. and civilian reports that the insurgents used extortion of U.S.fake uggs development and logistics contracts for their funding. He cited logistics-convoy security shakedowns, construction-protection rackets, Taliban ??taxes?? on corrupt officials, payoffs from international NGOs and major Afghan businesses??such as cell phones, utilities, and banks??as well as skims from poorly overseen Afghan government projects of the National Solidarity Program.
Citing the flood of American development and logistics money pouring into Afghanistan, the official said, ??The more money that comes in here, the more opportunities, and then there??s a lot more exploitation, more corruption. And there??s a lot more money coming in here.replica chanel shoes??
Why do you believe the Taliban is getting so much money from U.S. taxpayers? Is this just the way things work ?? or don??t ?? in a counter-insurgency?
The Taliban is getting so much money from U.S.handbags louis vuitton taxpayers because there is a toxic, opportunistic system that developed in Afghanistan in the years after the U.S. invasion. The system connects distracted American careerists, private U.fake gucci shoesS. corporations, corrupt Afghan kleptocrats??and the Taliban. U.S.chanel handbags for sale soldiers compare it to the Mafia: everyone??s in on the take. The soldiers tell me, ??We are funding our own enemy.??
Because of the corrupt Afghan government leadership, this particular counterinsurgency is particularly rife with skims and scams of U.S.louis vuitton belts logistics and development contracts, which ultimately help finance the Taliban??what the military calls ??threat funding.??
The U.S. military leaders have to know that counterinsurgency won??t work with a corrupt Afghan government.loui vuitton FM 3-24, the famous counterinsurgency manual authored by General David Petraeus that guides the U.S. military strategy in Afghanistan, states that partnering with a legitimate host government is an indispensable ??north star?? to a successful war. Instead, the U.fake ugg bootsS. is allied with an Afghan government that is largely ineffective and systemically corrupt.
Why did you write Funding the Enemy: How U.S.louis vuitton replica Taxpayers Bankroll the Taliban?
When I was embedded with U.S. troops in eastern Afghanistan, the soldiers started telling me that the U.S.gucci outlet online government is wasting tens of billions of American taxpayer dollars on scandalously mismanaged aid and logistics contracts that end up financing the Taliban.
We??d be trundling through Taliban-controlled areas in armored vehicles, dodging ambushes and hitting IEDs, and the soldiers would be saying, ??We??re funding both sides of this war.?? It seemed preposterous at first. But as I dug into the story, officers, diplomats, and aid officials confirmed the rough outlines of the pernicious system.louis vuitton handbags for sale One sardonic US intelligence officer told me, ??It??s the perfect war. Everyone is making money.??
I was trained as a historian, so wanted to understand the origins of this system. As a journalist, I wanted to see how the patterns played out on a day-to-day level.fake ugg boots And I wanted Americans to know the reality of the war in Afghanistan.
Tyagan Miller
What background do you have to reach the conclusions you did? Why should we listen to you?
As an independent journalist who has contributed to outlets that include the New York Times, Los Angeles Times, Washington Post, Foreign Policy, BBC, and VOA News, I??ve devoted considerable amounts of time and resources to objectively research development and logistics funding in Afghanistan.
I have a fair amount of experience in Central Asia, including time in the Pashtun tribal regions pre-9/11 and long stints among the famous Khampa Buddhist warriors of eastern Tibet in the process of researching my book, Pioneer in Tibet: The Life and Perils of Dr. Albert Shelton.loui vuitton Through the Khampa tribesmen, I learned about warrior cultures??knowledge that stood me in good stead in Afghanistan, where I encountered the intersecting worlds of fundamentalist Islamic mujahideen and devout American Baptist soldiers.
I??ve read a mountain of documents, reports, and books on the war in Afghanistan, conducted hundreds of interviews with people on all stripes and persuasions, embarked on two embeds in the war-zones of eastern Afghanistan. I??ve been in combat zones and Kabul embassy offices; in a little white taxi winding through way through a bomb-blasted landscape to Bagram Air Field; slogged with U.S.louis vuitton belts patrols through the Taliban-held mountains in 50 pounds of body armor; billeted in front-line bases where the blare of big-screen TVs and the hiss of espresso machines is punctuated with the boom of incoming rockets and the stutter of Kalashnikovs; shared the poignant front-line ceremonies honoring fallen soldiers returning homeward.
I??m an honest broker; I??m not beholden to the system. Based on my research and analysis, I??ve determined that grotesquely mismanaged U.S.fake louis vuitton shoes taxpayers?? money is making its way to the Taliban. We are fighting a war while funding our enemy??hence, the title of my book.
Tell us what you saw on the ground in Afghanistan.
I saw a dysfunctional, often uncoordinated development system that placed an emphasis on spending money fast, but had little interest in measuring the impacts of billions of U.gucci outlet onlineS. taxpayers?? dollars on reducing the insurgency.
I saw that messages that sound so good from podiums in Washington have little correlation with the on-the-ground reality in Afghanistan.
I saw an ADD-afflicted U.replica louis vuittonS. military and civilian leadership embark on a merry-go-round of sequential, sometimes contradictory strategies that has eventually cost us the war.
I have seen courageous American soldiers get increasingly frustrated and cynical about the war. Last summer a Marine colonel in southern Afghanistan told me there was low morale among the troops.fake uggs He said, ??On an operational level, the soldiers are saying, ??I??m going to go over there and try to not get my legs blown off. My nation will shut this bullshit down.?? That??s the feeling of my fellow soldiers.?? The marine officer said, ??The juice ain??t worth the squeeze.fake chanel shoes??
What do you think the U.S. should do now in Afghanistan?
We??re now spending $2 billion dollars a week in Afghanistan. We spent $120 billion there last year.chanel outlet It is not doing much good. Most of the $60 billion the U.S. has spent in Afghanistan on aid and development is wasted.louis vuitton neverfull After investing $30 billion on standing up the Afghan national security forces, their performance is still abysmal.
By most accounts, the insurgency is rapidly growing. Afghans don??t want us there. Increasing numbers of Americans want the U.louis vuitton replicaS. forces to leave Afghanistan as soon as possible. Most of the soldiers I talk to want to get out.
I think the U.chanel outletS. officials need to accelerate the withdrawal of the troops, and prepare to assist with the inevitable humanitarian crisis that is bound to overwhelm Afghanistan when we leave. We broke it. We need to help pick up the pieces.fake louis vuitton shoes
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Bill Kristol proves, once again, that he’s a far better political tactician than a political thinker, with this assessment of the presidential campaign to come.gucci handbag for sale He continues to be something less than full-blooded in his support of Mitt Romney–he’s been twenty shades of tepid throughout–and for all the right structural reasons: traditionally, it takes a national meltdown (1976 and 1980) or an extraordinary politician (1992) to defeat an incumbent president. With the economy drifting toward prosperity and no major foreign crises on the horizon, Kristol sees Obama as a clear favorite. Nothing special about that. But Kristol does have a few nice suggestions about the sort of campaign that Romney should run.chanel outlet
It shouldn’t be a backward-looking campaign as John Kerry tried in 2004, a combination of biography and vitriol against a marginally popular President. Romney needs to offer an alternative. He needs to explain what that alternative would be–and then Kristol describes the things that he thinks Romney has to explain:
Can he explain how an Obama second term would be even more dangerous and damaging than the Obama first term has been? Can he explain that we??re heading off a cliff of debt and deficit if Obama??s fiscal policies are allowed to continue? Can his campaign make vivid the harm Obama??s tax hikes and regulations will do to the economy, and Obama-care to our health care system and our country? Can he explain what a second term of Obama judicial appointments will do to our courts? Can he explain the damage an Obama second term will do to self-government, and limited government, and constitutional government in America? Can he conduct a campaign that describes how much more dangerous the world might look in 2016 if we continue Obama??s foreign and defense policies? Can the Republican campaign present a choice of paths for the future, ? la Paul Ryan??s budget and his explanation of it, rather than simply complain about the recent past and the difficult present?
You may have noticed that, with the exception of Paul Ryan’s deficit-busting, Medicare-privatizing* budget, all of the things that need to be explained are attacks on Obama’s first term. So much for forward-looking.fake gucci shoes And that is one of the essential problems with today’s Republican party: it has no intellectually honest vision of the future, no answers except “no” and “less” (or “more” when it comes to the military). Such answers can be semi-plausible when dealing with budget matters, but there are real problems the country is facing that it might be nice for Republicans to address.
We need to figure out how to rationalize the health care system, whether Obamacare survives the Supreme Court or not. I doubt that even Bill Kristol believes that “market forces” are the one and only solution to a public-private system that encourages doctors to conduct as many tests and procedures as possible.chanel handbags for sale
We need to figure out how to rationalize the regulation of the financial sector, especially the more exotic derivatives. The Dodd-Frank bill was lousy to begin with, and has now become a regulatory mess. I haven’t heard Romney, or any other active Republican, propose a plan that would help prevent the 2008 disaster from happening again. (We also need to systematically weed through the rest of the regulatory thicket that has grown up, and become impenetrable, over the past 100 years.replica louis vuitton)
We need to figure out a long-term energy strategy that encourages non-fossil fuels because, as Romney himself has said, the earth is warming, even if he isn’t–at least, wasn’t, during the Republican primaries–entirely sure that the warming is man-made. The Republican silliness about science in this and other areas, like evolution, is a witting, disgraceful fraud.
There was a time–the turn of the 1990s, to be precise–when the Republican Party offered solutions to all of these problems (and welfare and education reform as well). In many cases, their solutions were superior to the Democratic brand–the individual mandate was, and is, superior to the then-Democratic solution of an employer mandate; cap-and-trade was a good way to handle pollutants (though not so good as a straight-up, but refundable, carbon tax); choice and market-incentives were, and are, good ways to deal with our desultory educational system.cheap gucci belts Republicans and moderate Democrats, led by Bill Clinton, came to a humane solution to an immoral welfare system (and should finish the work now, by carefully reforming Social Security disability payments).
If I remember correctly, Kristol was part of that conversation. His turning point came when he advised Republicans to oppose the Clinton health care plan on purely tactical grounds–he didn’t want Clinton to win the political victory that reform would represent. And yet, he refused to propose an alternative.fake louis vuitton shoes He didn’t even support the Republican alternative. He has led the GOP nihilist caucus ever since–except when it comes to warmongering, where he is an uninflected and unmitigated hawk.
And so it is entirely predictable, and sad, that Kristol’s idea of a forward-looking campaign is a combination of aggression overseas and nihilism at home. I still believe a Romney win is entirely possible, if less likely, this November, but he will have a difficult time winning, and an impossible time governing, with Kristol’s cocktail of aggression overseas and nihilism at home.loui vuitton
*Actually, Ryan’s Medicare privatization is, hilariously, a more liberal version of Obamacare (that is, Obamacare with a public option). As I’ve written elsewhere, I think that some version of this could work with younger retirees–say, up to the age of 80. But older retirees can’t be expected to make complicated market decisions when it comes to medical care. But either way, we need to get rid of the expensive fee-for-service system and severely limit medical malpractice suits if we want to control costs.ugg boots outlet
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2013年11月19日星期二
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In an interview for the upcoming cover story in TIME, Republican Senator Marco Rubio says he wants his party to adopt a new tone to appeal to Latino voters.ugg boots outlet Excerpts of that conversation follow.
On why Republicans need to overhaul their attitude toward immigration.
I??m always trying to remind my colleagues that if they lived in Mexico or anywhere in Latin America and their kids were hungry??every night went to sleep hungry??and your country provided no opportunity for you to feed them, you??re telling me that there??s nothing you wouldn??t do to feed them? You??re telling me you wouldn??t go anywhere there was a job so you could send money to them? I think the vast majority of people who enter this country illegally and legally do so because they??re looking for a better life, more opportunity for their kids. And I think we need to recognize that.fake louis vuitton I think we need to understand that many of them are doing what many of us would do if we were in the same position. That doesn??t excuse it. That doesn??t mean you legalize it. That doesn??t mean you overlook it, but I do think it puts a human element to it.louis vuitton handbags for sale
On what the Republican party has to offer Latino Americans.
I think the free enterprise systems speaks to their economic hopes and dreams. I think our defense of traditional family values speaks to their concerns that by coming to this country they found prosperity, and in the process lost their soul. Some families are worried about the fact that they brought their children here and their children are better off in every measurable economic way, and yet maybe the culture threatens the unity of the family, and the strengths of the family that they once had in their home country, and they wish they could have both.louis vuitton replica And I think the Republican party has a lot to offer. I think Conservatism has a lot to offer Hispanics – Americans of Hispanic descent. And I do look forward to making that case to them in Spanish. I do look forward to making that case to them without the filter of people telling them what we believe.gucci handbag for sale
On the need for a more positive GOP message on immigration.
What??s the Republican legal-足immigration plan? And that??s a problem, when all they hear from you is what you??re against and not what you??re for. The Republican Party has to become the pro??legal immigration party. It has to be a party that puts out two things: a common足sense, compassionate yet law-based response to people that are here without documents, and a robust legal-足immigration system that 足emphasizes border security, worker security and an workable visa program.ugg boots outlet We have to have a proactive policy in that regard, and we?haven??t.
On the future of his party unless it?changes.
Ultimately there is, in my opinion, hundreds of thousands of conservatives and potential conservatives all across this country that will never become conservatives because they somehow feel that the party where the conservative movement is housed doesn??t want them. And that??s wrong, because that??s not true.fake louis vuitton
On Democrats?? inaction.
Here??s the bottom line: they do not want to fix the legal-immigration problem. They want this issue around to use for their campaigns. They??re just waiting for the right time to pop these issues out because they want to use them for political gain.fake ugg boots It??s the reason why Senator Reid, you know, pushed the DREAM Act at the edge of the November elections in 2010??足because he wanted to use it as an electoral issue.
On why he opposed the DREAM Act, which would have given high-achieving young immigrants a path to citizenship.
I think for the path to citizenship, the support is not there. I think for the path to legalization there can be a conversation.gucci handbag for sale I think most people would say that??s not amnesty, but it has to be structured in the right way. Then the other thing that I would say that??s wrong with the DREAM Act is it provides for chain migration, which is something people feel strongly about. It can??t be used as an anchor to let as many as 3 million people come into the country.
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Consider it an awkward coincidence: The final Republican debate before the Super Tuesday primary took place in Arizona, at the epicenter of the national immigration debate.replica gucci shoes When the remaining four candidates took the stage on Wednesday night, they were asked about the state??s tough crackdown on illegal immigration, which has defined the local Republican Party in recent years, buoyed the hopes of local Democrats and been condemned by, among others, the U.S. Department of Justice. The candidates needed to answer carefully.fake chanel shoes
Though the GOP base in Arizona is still roiled by the influx of undocumented immigrants into the state, the Obama campaign is betting that a backlash led by the growing Latino community can turn Arizona into a new presidential battleground in 2012. This is the subject of my cover story in the new issue of TIME, available online to subscribers Thursday and on newsstands Friday. For the cover, photographer Marco Grob traveled to Arizona to shoot an amazing gallery of portraits of Latino voters.
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In endorsing Mitt Romney for President, the editorial board of the Detroit News argues that, at least for now, it does not:
We disagree with Romney on a point vital to Michigan ?? his opposition to the bailout of the domestic automobile industry.louis vuitton replica Romney advocated for a more traditional bankruptcy process, while we believe the bridge loans provided by the federal government in the fall of 2008 were absolutely essential to the survival of General Motors Corp. and Chrysler Corp. The issue isn’t a differentiator in the GOP primary, since the entire field opposed the rescue effort.
This last part is true, although Romney, both responding to journalists and mounting his own pro-active defense of the now famous “let Detroit go bankrupt” op-ed from 2008, has talked a lot more about his opposition to the rescue plan in recent weeks than any other candidate.fake louis vuitton shoes So does this have an appreciable political effect? Yes and no.
In the primary, it really looks like a wash. Public Policy Polling this week found a third of Republicans there say they’re more likely to vote for someone who opposed the rescue, compared to 27% who see it as a liability and 35% who say they don’t care. The general election numbers are different though.replica chanel shoes Obama leads the GOP field by around 20 points in Michigan, according to Marist, in part on strength derived from the popular auto bailout: 63% of voters say it was a good thing, including 42% of Republicans, and most think Obama deserves credit for the policy.
That might explain why Romney seized the opportunity of a primary campaign to try to shore up his position. Democrats are moving as well. Here’s an ad from the Obama-backing super PAC Priorities USA running this week in Michigan with $238,000 behind it.louis vuitton handbags for sale
If you listen carefully, you’ll hear Romney say the word “bankrupt” 12 times.
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Barack Obama and Mitt Romney laid out competing frameworks for tax reform on Wednesday, competing to lay down political markers on a policy issue both parties where both parties want reform but where there is little chance to achieve Congressional compromise anytime soon.loui vuitton?
Piggybacking on the 59-point plan he released in September, Romney unveiled a proposal he said would bring “more jobs, less debt, smaller government.” Romney proposes an across-the-board 20% cut in marginal tax rates for individuals, which would lower the top tax rate from 35% to 28%, a return to the level signed by President Reagan in 1986. The plan would maintain the current 15% rate on dividends and capital gains for incomes above $200,000 per year, just as Romney proposed in September, while exempting families making less from paying taxes on such gains. The former Massachusetts governor also called for the repeal of the alternative minimum tax and the estate tax.louis vuitton replica
On the corporate side, Romney reiterated his proposals to slash the corporate tax rate from 35% to 25% while transitioning to a “territorial tax system,” which his campaign said would spur companies to reinvest foreign profits at home. At the same time, he wants to broaden the tax base by patching a code shot through with deductions and exemptions. “I’m going to limit the deductions and exemptions particularly for high-income folks,” Romney said Wednesday during an event in Chandler, Arizona, during which he pledged to “make sure the top 1% keeps paying the current share they’re paying or more.” Romney did not specify which exemptions he wants to eliminate, and his advisers have not released further details.louis vuitton replica
(MORE: Tax Reform and the Revenue Problem)
Romney’s advisers say the overhaul would be revenue neutral, primarily paid for by reductions in federal spending — which Romney says he will pare by $500 billion, bringing it down to 20% of GDP by 2016 — broadening the tax base, and trimming entitlements. (Romney wants to block-grant Medicaid to the states, gradually raise the retirement age on Social Security for younger generations while chaining it to inflation rather than wages, and transition to a Paul Ryan-style premium-support system for Medicare.) That would have to be done in concert with a factionalized Congress, in the face of intense pressure from powerful business lobbies who moan about the U.S.louis vuitton backpack for sale’s crippling tax burden while devising ways to pay very little in taxes.
Like Romney, Obama’s economic team wants to overhaul the tax code to put the U.S. on more competitive footing by lowering rates and ending deductions.replica gucci shoes The President’s proposal, sketched out Wednesday by Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner, would trim the corporate tax rate from 35% to 28% while eliminating loopholes and subsidies Obama has criticized before –notably, for the oil and gas industries, hedge funds and companies who generate profits overseas — to offset the lost revenue. It would also provide special incentives to manufacturers and force companies who generate overseas profits to pay an unspecified minimum tax on foreign earnings.
(MORE: Obama’s ‘Stealth Stimulus’ Renewed)
Both of these proposals are just blueprints, with too many blanks and too much left to Congressional wrangling for a complete assessment. But that is by design.replica gucci shoes For Obama, who has faced accusations that his policies are hostile to business interests, the proposal answers critics by suggesting a lower corporate rate. It also preserves his pledge to provide a “fair” economic playing field and assigns the thorny task of handling the specific pay-fors — and the blame that accompanies it — to a brutally unpopular foil at the other end of Pennsylvania Avenue.
For Romney, who has been criticized by conservative wonks for proffering a timid tax-reform plan (his GOP rivals suggest slashing corporate rates more deeply), the proposal is a way to mollify critics and refocus the political debate in the hours before a pivotal Republican debate, one week before a pair of must-win contests in Michigan and Arizona. It offers a compelling juxtaposition for a candidate who has made economic expertise the cornerstone of his presidential bid: While Rick Santorum tries to parry questions about prenatal testing and Satan, Romney is setting out a plan to shrink government and get the nation back to work.louis vuitton speedy Never mind the fact that much of his plan is reheated from the fall, and that large parts remain opaque. Stepping on Obama’s own symbolic marker is an added bonus.
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0 minutes.gucci handbag for sale Dry your eyes. It??s hard on all of us. But if you keep crying like this you won??t be able to see the 20th debate, perhaps the last of the primaries. We can do this together, learn to let go.gucci outlet online But the sobbing must stop. James Earl Jones just said, ??This is CNN.?? John King is standing on the space stage. We have so many memories.fake uggs Let??s make just a few more. King says this debate ??could change everything.?? Believe.
1 minute.ugg boots outlet Montage. High desert mountains. Low political clich辿s.? ??Grand showdown.louis vuitton backpack for sale?? ??All over the map.?? ??Could take another turn.?? ??Fight to the finish.?? Former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum is the ??late contender.replica chanel shoes?? Former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney is the ??Long Distance Runner.?? Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich is the ??Determined Challenger.?? Texas Representative Ron Paul is the ??Delegate Hunter.?? None of these words mean anything.louis vuitton shoes replica
3 minutes. Montage ends with a quick aerial shot of the indoor arena from a helicopter, soaring over the Phoenix suburbs, which look just like every other suburb. Then back inside. The candidates come out.louis vuitton neverfull Lumbering Gingrich. Measured Romney. Goofy Santorum. Amiable Paul.ugg boots outlet Romney makes a show of applauding Paul, so the others join in. Like old times.
(MORE: Santorum Finds Himself in the Spotlight and On the Defensive)
4 minutes. Arizona State University??s symphonic choral group does the national anthem.replica gucci shoes Always loved the student groups the best. Much better than the B-grade show-tune types.
7 minutes. Self-introduction time.louis vuitton shoes replica Paul is ??defender of the Constitution.?? Santorum will talk about ??positive solutions.?? Romney gets going on a long riff about ??a secure future and a prosperous life.?? But when he says Obama is bad, the crowd??s Pavlovian response takes over.loui vuitton They applaud, interrupting Romney, who concedes. ??That’s good enough. As George Costanza would say, when they’re applauding, stop. Right??? Actually Jerry Seinfeld said that.fake chanel shoes Close enough.
8 minutes. Gingrich goes with some fresh, jarring images. ??I’ve developed a program for American energy so no future President will ever bow to a Saudi king again,?? he says.fake chanel shoes Vote Gingrich. Vote rude diplomacy. Also ??$2.50 a gallon gasoline.chanel handbags for sale??
9 minutes. Questions. This one from a guy named Gilbert, who worries about the U.S.handbags louis vuitton debt being so high, which is an enormously bland question. Santorum has a stump speech answer. He will go after ??means tested entitlement spending?? but not defense. He goes on for a while.louis vuitton outlet online
11 minutes. Then King gets to the point: He asks Romney if Santorum is fooling the country with his fiscal conservative pitch. Seems that whole first question for Santorum was a set up. Romney drops debt-sized chunk of oppo.replica louis vuitton ??Well I’m looking at his historic record, which voting for raising the debt ceiling five different times without voting for compensating cuts. Voting to keep in place Davis-Bacon. . .louis vuitton speedy .? Voting to fund Planned Parenthood, to expand the Department of Education.?? He goes on. One thing Romney has is a real talent for memorization.handbags louis vuitton
13 minutes. Santorum responds by pointing out that Romney would have voted to raise the debt ceiling too. But Romney??s entire political approach is to deny completely obvious facts like this in favor of focus-group-tested one liners. So Santorum catches on with a one-liner of his own.replica chanel shoes ??Governor Romney raised $700 million in taxes and fees in Massachusetts,?? he says. ??I never voted to raise taxes.??
14 minutes. Romney doesn??t respond to the claim directly.ugg boots outlet But he does say ??cut, cap and balance?? a couple of times. He also says he intends to cut taxes for everyone who pays them, ??including the top 1 percent,?? which is an odd thing to emphasize, given his problems connecting with those not in his income bracket.
15 minutes. Gingrich gets a chance to talk.fake louis vuitton He promises ??$2.50 gasoline?? again, which is exactly the sort of political pander he would probably call ??fundamentally dishonest?? if one of his opponents offered it. Never mind though. Gingrich has a theme.chanel handbags for sale
17 minutes. King asks Paul why he called Santorum ??a fake.?? ??Because he’s a fake,?? says Paul. So good.louis vuitton handbags for sale Paul goes on to point out that Santorum is now against a lot of the things he once supported, like the No Child Left Behind education law.
19 minutes. Santorum comes back with a bunch of facts about all the conservative ratings saying he is conservative in comparison to other members of Congress. ??That’s always a cop-out when you compare yourself to the other members of Congress,?? Paul hits back.replica chanel shoes ??The American people are sick and tired of the members of Congress. They get about a 9% rating.?? If Paul was only selling something people wanted to buy, he would have a good shot at winning.
(MORE: Grading the Arizona Republican Debate)
21 minutes.gucci outlet online King asks Romney what the deal was when he called himself ??severely conservative” a couple of weeks ago. ??Well, severe, strict,?? says Romney, basically admitting it was a mistake. Of course he will not admit that he has not actually been a strict conservative, just that he doesn??t say it right when he tries.
22 minutes.louis vuitton replica Have we mentioned the chairs? This is different. Everyone is sitting down. Only Romney has kept his suit jacket buttoned. Good judgement there.louis vuitton handbags for sale He looks like he is ready. The rest look like they are reclining after a big meal.
25 minutes. Talk turns to earmarking.chanel outlet And it??s complicated. Santorum is against earmarks now, but he doesn??t apologize for voting for them before. Romney is against Santorum voting for earmarks before, but he isn??t against his work to get earmarks before. Gingrich is generally into earmarks.chanel handbags for sale Paul, who hates all government spending, also defends earmarks. The candidates flesh these positions out for 8 minutes. Real confusing. At one point, Romney says after Santorum talks for a while, ??I didn??t follow all of that, but I can tell you this.fake gucci shoes?? It is a near perfect transition sentence. But what follows is also pretty unintelligible.
30 minutes. Here is a typical exchange: ??Attached to a bill? Attached to a bill??? asks Romney.louis vuitton handbags for sale ??As part of the bill. Congressman Paul…?? says Santorum. ??And the President can’t veto it??? asks Romney. ??He can veto the bill,?? says Santorum.fake gucci shoes ??The whole bill, but he can’t veto the earmark??? asks Romney. ??Well, we tried to do that, by the way. I supported a line-item veto,?? says Santorum. ??That’s what I support.fake louis vuitton That’s what I support,?? says Romney. ??Hold on. Hold on,?? says Santorum. Democracy in action.louis vuitton belts
34 minutes. From earmarks to bailouts. Santorum says he is against all bailouts, and that Romney opposed the auto bailout but supported the bailout of Wall Street in 2008. Romney gets all huffy.fake gucci shoes ??Nice, nice try,?? he says. An inferior transition sentence. Then he explains at length his auto-non-bailout position. He says he wasn??t just bailing out Wall Street by supporting TARP, but trying to bail out all banks.replica chanel shoes And he pulls out more oppo on Santorum. ??Now, Senator you voted in favor of the bail out of the airline industry after 9/11,?? he says. ??I think that was the right thing to do. It was an emergency.louis vuitton outlet online?? This is an odd attack, since it is actually a compliment.
39 minutes. Santorum can??t let Romney get away with the compliment-attack. ??As Governor Romney well knows, that the American government shut down the airline industry after 9/11,?? Santorum begins.louis vuitton speedy But pretty soon Romney is interrupting. ??I agree with you,?? he says. ??I agree.?? All confusing.chanel outlet Like two gladiators blowing deadly kisses.
(MORE: In the National Spotlight, Santorum Doesn??t Shy Away from Social Issues)
41 minutes. Gingrich says Obama is bad and Chrysler is now a foreign company. Paul says government involvement in pretty much anything is always bad.louis vuitton handbags for sale
42 minutes. Our first commercial break. How you holding up? Maybe these aerial shots of Mesa, Arizona, which looks like a dun-colored office park, will help.
46 minutes.gucci handbag for sale We??re back. A question about birth control, which sparks boos from the crowd. So Gingrich steps in. ??But I just want to point out, you did not once in the 2008 campaign, not once did anybody in the elite media ask why Barack Obama voted in favor of legalizing infanticide.louis vuitton neverfull Okay??? Okay. It is not true that Obama voted in favor of infanticide. And it is not true that the elite media ignored the charge that he did.
47 minutes.chanel outlet Romney pivots away from contraception to religious freedom, and condemns Obama for ??most recently requiring the Catholic Church to provide for its employees and its various enterprises health care insurance that would include birth control, sterilization and the morning-after pill. Unbelievable.?? This is a good line, as long as you don??t go back to Dec. 8, 2005, when Romney himself was quoted saying, ????My own view is that every hospital should provide to rape victims information about emergency contraception, or emergency contraception itself.replica gucci shoes?? Unbelievable, you say? Believe it.
49 minutes. Santorum returns to contraception, which he has previously said he would speak out against as President. By definition, contraception prevents pregnancy, but Santorum suggests it does the opposite, by encouraging teen sexuality.handbags louis vuitton ??What we’re seeing is a problem in our culture with respect to children being raised by children, children being raised out of wedlock, and the impact on society economically,?? he says. So vote Santorum, and prevent pregnancy with less contraception. Or something like that.
51 minutes.cheap gucci belts Paul, who is a doctor, doesn??t buy Santorum??s logic. ??Along the line of the pills creating immorality, I don’t see it that way,?? he says. ??I think the immorality creates the problem of wanting to use the pills. So you don’t blame the pills.chanel outlet?? He has a point.
53 minutes. More talk of contraception. Romney again denies that Massachusetts ever wanted to force Catholic hospitals to be involved in emergency contraception, even though that was his position at the time.louis vuitton replica Gingrich points this fact out, and then goes on to suggest that any government involvement in issues like contraception is always a ??move towards tyranny.?? The crowd likes this line.
55 minutes. The whole debate is really becoming difficult to follow, and not just because of all the emotion surrounding the potential end of the GOP debates.cheap gucci belts Santorum says, ??I opposed Title X funding. I’ve always opposed Title X funding,?? which provides federal support for family planning clinics like Planned Parenthood. But in 2006, Santorum said, ??I support, you know, Title X.?? Really.louis vuitton belts It??s okay if you want to give up. Or cry. Start now.
59 minutes.fake louis vuitton Romney points out that Santorum said something different back in 2006. ??I think I was making it clear that, while I have a personal more objection to it; even though I don’t support it, that I voted for bills that included it,?? says Santorum, as if this makes anything clear.
60 minutes. To recap the first hour.fake uggs Most of the candidates both hate earmarks and like earmarks. Romney hates restrictions on Catholic hospitals, but once supported them. Santorum hates federal family planning funding, though he once supported it but only because he supported the bills that included it. Gingrich will deliver $2.fake louis vuitton shoes50 gas. Now we can begin the next hour.
61 minutes. Santorum and Romney are squabbling about RomneyCare and whether it led to ObamaCare.chanel handbags for sale Romney pulls out a zinger: ??The reason we have Obama Care is because the Senator you supported over Pat Toomey in Pennsylvania, Arlen Specter, the pro-choice Senator of Pennsylvania that you supported and endorsed in a race over Pat Toomey, he voted for Obama Care. If you had not supported him, if we had said, no to Arlen Specter, we would not have Obama Care. So don’t look at me. Take a look in the mirror.louis vuitton replica?? Again, good memorization. Romney also says he is against ObamaCare because it cuts a private, add-on program for Medicare.
(MORE: Mitt Romney: The Once and Future Front Runner Looks Beyond Florida)
62 minutes. Santorum shoots back by pointing out that RomneyCare required hundreds of millions of dollars in additional federal subsidies to work, which is true.louis vuitton handbags for sale Then Santorum delivers a zinger of his own, saying Romney??s boasts of balancing the budget on the state level don??t mean anything, since governors have no choice, which is true. ??Don’t go around bragging about something you have to do,?? he says. ??Michael Dukakis balanced the budget for 10 years, does that make him qualified to be President of the United States? I don’t think so.?? Applause.replica gucci shoes Santorum then defends his support of Specter, for complicated reasons connected with the Supreme Court and the Senate Judiciary Committee, even though Santorum has previously told voters that he regrets supporting Specter. Abandon all hope any who want this to make sense.
65 minutes. Question about immigration.cheap gucci belts Everyone wants a strong border. Then there is a crowd shot of Rick Perry in the audience. He still looks handsome. Without a microphone, he has more gravitas.gucci handbag for sale Gingrich reiterates his desire for a double fence on the southern border. Romney calls Arizona??s tough immigration laws ??a model,?? and promises to drop the lawsuits to throw the laws out on constitutional grounds. Santorum also says he wants more enforcement.
72 minutes.louis vuitton speedy King quotes Republican rising star, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, as saying the immigration rhetoric in the GOP has been ??harsh, intolerable, inexcusable.?? He asks Gingrich to respond, and Gingrich dodges. ??Is there somebody somewhere who’s done that? ?? he says.louis vuitton neverfull ??Sure.??
74 minutes. Another commercial break. It has gone dark outside, so no more aerial shots.louis vuitton belts
80 minutes. We??re back. Each candidate is asked to describe himself in one word. Paul says ??Consistent,?? which is true.louis vuitton shoes replica Santorum says, ??Courage,?? which is strange, because he has spent the night explaining away uncourageous positions. Romney says ??Resolute,?? which is also strange for basically the same reason. And Gingrich says ??Cheerful,?? which is nearly a perfect response, because it means, “You are all a bunch of clowns, and I put up with you.”
81 minutes.louis vuitton handbags for sale Foreign policy time. Romney is not going to give a position on more women on the front lines of the military. Though he does say he wants to grow the size of the military dramatically, and that Obama is terrible for a number of reasons. Gingrich also won??t bite on women in the military, though he does call Obama ??the most dangerous President on national security grounds in American history.fake louis vuitton shoes?? Paul says he wants fewer wars, especially the ones with the U.S. on offense. Santorum reiterates his concern about women in the infantry, and says he would not just defer to military leaders.handbags louis vuitton
90 minutes. All the candidates agree that Iran is really dangerous, must not get a nuclear weapon, and is run by crazy people. Except for Paul, who appeals to his colleagues: ??If they are so determined to go to war, the only thing I plead with you for, if this is the case, is do it properly. Ask the people and ask the Congress for a declaration of war.louis vuitton belts This is war and people are going to die. And you have got to get a declaration of war.?? This is unlikely to happen.
100 minutes.fake gucci shoes Santorum gets a question about his past support for No Child Left Behind, which he now opposes. Santorum says he supported the bill for the worst political reasons, without believing in what he did at the time. ??I have to admit, I voted for that. It was against the principles I believed in, but, you know, when you’re part of the team, sometimes you take one for the team, for the leader, and I made a mistake,?? he says.gucci handbag for sale The crowd boos. “Courage” Santorum.
(MORE: The Passion of Rick Santorum)
103 minutes. Romney and Gingrich like local school control and choice.replica louis vuitton They don??t like teachers unions. Paul basically agrees, except he wants the federal government out of the school business completely.
108 minutes. One more break.fake chanel shoes
111 minutes. Final question. What is the biggest misconception about you? Paul says it??s the media??s notion that he can??t win. Gingrich doesn??t answer the question.replica chanel shoes He just talks about how ready he is to solve big problems. Romney also dodges, and goes into his stump speech about restoring America??s promise. King points out that this is not a response to the question. Romney gets testy, ??You know, you get to ask the questions want, I get to give the answers I want.louis vuitton speedy Fair enough??? This is jarring and off message. Doesn??t feel restorative. Santorum says people don??t understand that he can beat Barack Obama.
116 minutes.loui vuitton That??s it. We??re done. And we may never return. It??s been 20 debates.ugg boots outlet A long wild ride. We made it. Let the tears flow.
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National Review editor Rich Lowry, writing in the new issue of TIME on the social implications of the decline of marriage, has a suggestion:
No one wants to be preachy about marriage when everyone knows its inevitable frustrations.louis vuitton handbags for sale (“Marriage is a wonderful institution,” H.L. Mencken said, “but who would want to live in an institution?”) At the very least, though, we should provide the facts about the importance of marriage as a matter of child welfare and economic aspiration. As a society, we have launched highly effective public-education campaigns on much less momentous issues, from smoking to recycling.louis vuitton handbags for sale
It’s not hard to think of a spokeswoman. Michelle Obama is the daughter in a traditional two-parent family and the mother in another one that even her husband’s critics admire. If she took up marriage as a cause, she could ultimately have a much more meaningful impact on the lives of children than she will ever have urging them to do jumping jacks.
Read the whole thing.handbags louis vuitton
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Republicans fret about the tenor of their primary.replica chanel shoes
Economic optimism rises.
Santorum quietly runs negative ads against Romney in Michigan.
They’re running near even.
The operatives running super PACs are getting rich off them.ugg boots outlet
The stock market has boomed under Democratic Presidents.
Larry Summers kept a bigger stimulus proposal off Obama’s desk.
At McDonnell’s urging, Virginia amends abortion bill to strip out mandatory internal ultrasounds.
And New Mexico’s governor loses her hair stylist.louis vuitton backpack for sale
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2013年11月13日星期三
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Two guides to Super Tuesday: delegate scenarios and a comprehensive fact sheet.louis vuitton belts
Obama counterprograms with a press conference.
Though more sympathetic in context, Ann is Romneying too: “We can be poor in spirit, and I don??t even consider myself wealthy, which is an interesting thing, it can be here today and gone tomorrow.”
Barbara Bush calls the GOP primary the “worst campaign I’ve ever seen.”
It’s helping Obama with his own base.ugg boots outlet
Latinos favor the President six-to-one.
Democrats see need of a second act for Warren in Massachusetts.
Recall wars in Wisconsin may suck $60 million away from national races in 2012.
Bibi at AIPAC.chanel outlet
Eric Holder argues the legality of killing citizens without judicial review.
Electronic records may actually exacerbate health spending.
And aboard the ladies for Santorum bus tour.
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Had he been speaking Hebrew in a dramatic TV broadcast back home, parts of Benjamin Netanyahu’s fire-and-brimstone speech on Monday night might have been mistaken for the words of an Israeli Prime Minister about to launch a fateful war.louis vuitton belts He painted Iran’s nuclear program as an apocalyptic extermination threat redolent of the Nazi Holocaust, stressed Israel’s power and responsibility to prevent a repeat of the greatest trauma in Jewish history and vowed that “as Prime Minister of Israel, I will never let my people live under the shadow of annihilation.”
But Netanyahu was speaking in English, to the American Israel Public Affairs Committee’s annual policy conference in Washington ?? a forum whose raison d’棚tre is to leverage Israel’s cause in U.S. domestic politics.louis vuitton neverfull His purpose there was clearly to rally his considerable bipartisan support on Capitol Hill and beyond to maintain pressure on the Obama Administration to move closer to Israel’s red lines, timelines and perspective for action to stop Iran’s nuclear program. For now, however, the Administration has resisted his pressure.
(PHOTOS: Explosion by New Delhi’s Israeli Embassy)
“We??ve waited for diplomacy to work,” he told the assembled Israel partisans at AIPAC, which included three-quarters of members of Congress. “We??ve waited for sanctions to work.loui vuitton None of us can afford to wait much longer.”
Netanyahu has taken a similar line since assuming office three years ago. The underlying point on Monday was that, once again, he’s had to agree to wait, however reluctantly, for the sanctions and diplomacy strategy of the Obama Administration to change the game. Netanyahu insisted on Israel’s freedom and responsibility to make its own decisions in response to Iran’s nuclear development, telling the AIPAC crowd, “We deeply appreciate the great alliance between our two countries.chanel outlet But when it comes to Israel??s survival, we must always remain the masters of our fate.”
President Obama acknowledged Israel’s right to make its own defense decisions in relation to Iran, but there’s no doubt in any quarter that Israel is reluctant to act alone in starting a potentially disastrous war in the Middle East. And at a tactical level at least, Israel has become isolated by the many months of saber rattling in the form of statements, leaks and military exercises designed to signal that it might launch air strikes on Iran. While key Western European countries have joined Washington in imposing unprecedented, crippling sanctions on Iran, none of them supports a military option right now.fake louis vuitton Instead, Israel’s closest Western allies ?? the U.S., France, Britain and Germany ?? have lately been devoting diplomatic energy to restraining the Israelis from starting a war, which is not a position with which the Israelis are entirely comfortable.
(MORE: Obama Offers Israel a Path to Avoid an Iran War, but Will Netanyahu Buy Its Terms?)
Netanyahu had hoped to bridge that gap while in Washington by moving Obama closer to Israel’s view.gucci handbag for sale The response was something of a curveball. Obama vowed publicly that he would not tolerate Iran’s acquiring a nuclear weapon, and would use military force to prevent that event. Israel, however, has insisted that Iran can’t be allowed to have the technological capability to build nuclear weapons ?? a capability that substantially exists already, even in those parts of the Iranian program under IAEA monitoring and certified as remaining within peaceful boundaries. But having vowed that he would strike if Iran became a nuclear-weapon threat, Obama publicly rebuffed what he called “bluster” and “loose talk of war.replica louis vuitton” He pointed out that the U.S. and Israel agree that Iran has not yet made a decision to build nuclear weapons, and demanded more time for the combination of sanctions and diplomatic efforts to dissuade Iran from doing so. A diplomatic solution, said Obama, was in the best interests of Israel and the U.loui vuittonS.
Opinion polls show that only 1 in 5 Israelis supports attacking Iran without U.S. backing, while Israel’s top military and intelligence leaders believe going to war under the present circumstances would be a mistake.louis vuitton handbags for sale Netanyahu, traditionally a risk-averse leader, has never started a war and would be reluctant to ignore the advice of his military chieftains to launch one involving such deep risk, the gains of which may be limited simply to slowing down a potential threat by a couple of years.?So having staked out and reiterated their freedom of action ?? and Washington’s blessing for them to make their own decisions, even if U.S. officials continue to urge Israel to refrain from military action right now ?? the Israelis are nonetheless more comfortable with Iran’s being tackled by a U.handbags louis vuittonS.-led coalition. Netanyahu will rely on his support in Washington to press the Obama Administration to adopt a tougher stance.
(MORE: Why Netanyahu??s Visit to Discuss Iran Puts Obama in a Political Minefield)
There were the occasionally apocalyptic tones and flashes of demagoguery in his AIPAC speech.fake uggs For example, he likened those in Washington who now counsel that the consequences of going to war outweigh the threat posed by Iran’s nuclear program to those in the 20th century who stood by passively in the face of the Nazi Holocaust. Despite that, Netanyahu also made clear that he had not yet decided to go to war.
According to Israeli reports, the Prime Minister told Obama during their White House meeting earlier in the day that he had not yet decided whether to attack Iran. His purpose in Washington, however, was to press for a tougher line from the U.replica louis vuittonS. Administration. Even if he believes Iran needs to be bombed in order to prevent a nuclear-weapon threat from emerging there, he’d obviously rather the U.S.louis vuitton backpack for sale did the job with its vastly superior military capabilities. The Israeli Prime Minister doesn’t want to go it alone in starting a war with Iran, even if he threatens that he’ll do so if he deems other options insufficient.
Netanyahu says he can’t wait much longer, but for the Administration’s purpose, the key point is that he’s waiting. A careful read of Netanyahu’s speech, in fact, should reassure oil markets rather than spook them into new spikes on a fear of war.louis vuitton speedy
(MORE: Is Iran Dangerous ?? or Desperate?)
Officials privy to Monday’s meeting at the White House told the New York Times that both leaders had agreed to tamp down the overheated Iran debate in their countries.?But Netanyahu’s tone and demeanor ?? particularly his scathing rebuke of some of the concerns raised by Obama Administration officials over the military option ?? suggest the debate is unlikely to cool down significantly.
It is business as usual, then, despite a visit that was billed as a showdown. The U.louis vuitton handbags for saleS. will continue to press sanctions and diplomacy, while Israel will stand on the sidelines, demonstratively tapping its watch and threatening to scramble the jets. Still, nothing heard publicly from the leaders gathered in Washington this week to discuss Iran suggests that war is any closer than it was last week.
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In their speeches to AIPAC today, the Republican presidential candidates made clear that they consider an Iranian nuclear weapon a nightmare that must be stopped at all costs.chanel outlet Yet however potentially dangerous Iran may be, there’s something askew about the emphasis on its nuclear program to the near-exclusion of the many other nuclear threats America faces–threats the GOP candidates have spent virtually no time addressing.
Take Pakistan, whose army reportedly moves around its nukes in delivery vans, and where the risk of a radicalized insider transferring nuclear material to terrorists is chillingly plausible. Weapons material isn’t as hard to transport as you’d hope, and a rogue scientist doesn’t face the same questions of deterrence and self-preservation as do regime leaders. (A rogue insider, by the way, seems a greater concern in Iran than the prospect of the regime attacking Israel or the U.replica louis vuittonS., or handing off a bomb to some group for that task.) Or how about murkier threats, involving no specific state but rather the vast quantities of nuclear material around the world kept in facilities like civilian research reactors, which store highly enriched uranium under weak security?
President Obama has devoted serious attention to the complex problem of loose nuclear material, and has tried to start a global conversation about nuclear disarmament. His administration keeps a close watch on Pakistan’s nukes (though with frustrating limits) and has reportedly developed plans for military action should the country’s nuclear arsenal come under imminent threat.louis vuitton handbags for sale
But Republicans just haven’t seemed very interested in these dangers. Over twenty GOP debates I can’t recall hearing a substantive conversation about loose nukes, or the state of our anti-nuclear defenses (radiation detectors at ports; nuclear “fingerprinting” research). Newt Gingrich has even mused about cutting off U.S.chanel outlet aid to Pakistan, likely a fast way? to lose what insights we have into their nuclear security. (It’s worth noting that Rick Santorum, and Michele Bachmann of all people, rebuffed that idea in a November debate.)
Iran is clearly a special case. It’s threat we can see developing, through the eyes of international inspectors, satellites and espionage.louis vuitton handbags for sale Israel is small, close and extremely vulnerable to a potential Iranian attack. But don’t be fooled into thinking that Iran is the only, or even the likeliest, source of a possible nuclear bomb that might be used against America or Israel–even if we’re not getting the honest and serious campaign debate it would take to make that clear.
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During George W.fake uggs Bush??s 2004 re-election campaign, his staff would often rent out minor league baseball fields. Bush would land in Marine One in the outfield and come strolling out to the soundtrack of the Harrison Ford movie, Air Force One, to deliver his stump speech from home plate. It was an impressive spectacle, one that wowed crowds and flaunted the power of the presidency. On Tuesday, Barack Obama??s performed his own wonky version of the home-team strut.louis vuitton neverfull
“I understand there are some political contests going on tonight,” Obama said at the opening of a White House press conference, his first of the year that just coincidentally fell on the same day as the largest batch of Republican primaries in 2012: 10 states, 437 delegates and potentially nothing less than the nomination itself at stake. “But I??d thought I??d start the day off by taking a few questions which I??m sure will not be political in nature.” Sure, no politics here. Obama explicitly spoke of Mitt Romney, the man most likely to lead the delegate tally at the conclusion of the day’s contests, only once.gucci outlet online The President wished him good luck.
But a large section of Obama’s exchange with reporters was heavily political and served to upstage Romney’s big day. The questions largely split between Georgetown Law student Sandra Fluke, a women??s rights activist who drew national attention after Rush Limbaugh attacked her sex life (he later apologized), and the Mideast.
With the former, his message was clear.fake uggs “I believe that Democrats have a better story to tell to women about how we??re going to solidify the middle class and grow this economy, make sure everybody has a fair shot, everybody is doing their fair share, and we got a fair set of rules of the road that everybody has to follow,” he said in response to a question about whether the Fluke incident was indicative of a “war on women.”
With the latter, Obama was more opaque. Asked to address Romney’s criticisms of his Administration’s foreign policy, in the news this week with Netanyahu in town, AIPAC ongoing and Republican chest-pounding on Iran more primal than ever, Obama had some tough words for unnamed “folks.”
??What’s said on the campaign trail ?? those people don??t have a lot of responsibilities; they are not the commander in chief.louis vuitton neverfull When I see the casualness in which those folks talk about war, I am reminded of the costs of war,” he said after defending his record on sanctions. “And when I see these folks that have a lot of bluster, and a lot of big talk but when you actually ask them specifically what they would do, it turns out they repeat the things we??ve been doing over the last three years.”
“It indicates to me that that??s more about politics than trying to solve a problem,” Obama continued. “Now one thing we have not done is we haven??t launched a war.gucci outlet online If some of these folks think it??s time to launch a war then they should say so and explain to the American people exactly why they would do that and what the consequences would be. Everything else is just talk.”
“Folks” is a common enough Obama colloquialism. But in this context, it’s a fairly transparent pseudonym for Romney, the subject of the Iran question to begin with, that simultaneously preserves a level of pre-general election decorum and lumps Romney in with his fellow primary candidates (some of whom, it’s worth noting, are decidedly more bellicose than the former Massachusetts governor).chanel handbags for sale And why not? His rivals spent the morning accusing him of “weakness” on Iran at AIPAC. Obama’s presidential pulpit affords him a degree of political separation to play the same game without getting into the muck. He may not be helicoptering into any minor league outfields just yet, but this was the power of incumbency on display.
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